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We’ve trawled back through the archives to work out precisely who the statistical favourite is to win The Masters – and the result is an interesting one.

Examining data from the last 17 editions of the Masters, dating back to Tiger Woods’ second win in 2001, we’ve used three different metrics to identify our man to watch.

1. Each player’s form heading into the Masters.
2. Their at the time of their win.
3. How many starts they had made at Augusta National prior to winning.

Let’s start with the first piece of those. Fourteen of the past 17 Masters champions have won on either the PGA Tour or European Tour in the six months prior to slipping on the Green Jacket.

Here’s a complete list of those who fit that bill:

Austin Cook, Branden Grace, Brice Garnett, Bubba Watson, Cameron Smith, Chris Paisley, Dustin Johnson, Dylan Frittelli, Eddie Pepperell, Gary Woodland, George Coetzee, Haotong Li, Jason Day, Jon Rahm, Joost Luiten, Justin Rose, Justin Thomas, Kiradech Aphibarnrat, Matt Wallace, Pat Perez, Patrick Cantlay, Patton Kizzire, Paul Casey, Phil Mickelson, Rickie Fowler, Rory McIlroy, Ryan Armour, Sergio Garcia, Shubhankar Sharma, Ted Potter Jnr, Tommy Fleetwood, Tyrrell Hatton and Wade Ormsby.

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